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Goudsmit, SA (1977)

Pitfalls in Elementary Probability

Proceedings of the American Philosophical Society 121(2), pp. 188-189.

ISSN/ISBN: 0003-049X DOI: Not available at this time.

Abstract: We use probability considerations without being aware of it in many daily-life situations. Whenever we make a choice or take a risk, we subconsciously decide that the probabilities are in our favor. We do this by intuition and I wish to point out that intuition can be a dangerously misleading guide in probability matters. I shall show this by discussing a few examples.

@article{, ISSN = {0003049X}, URL = {}, author = {Samuel A. Goudsmit}, journal = {Proceedings of the American Philosophical Society}, number = {2}, pages = {188--189}, publisher = {American Philosophical Society}, title = {Pitfalls in Elementary Probability}, volume = {121}, year = {1977} }

Reference Type: Journal Article

Subject Area(s): General Interest, Probability Theory