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Zhang, J (2020)

Testing Case Number of Coronavirus Disease 2019 in China with Newcomb-Benford Law

Preprint arXiv:2002.05695 [physics.soc-ph]; last accessed February 18, 2020.

ISSN/ISBN: Not available at this time. DOI: Not available at this time.



Abstract: The coronavirus disease 2019 bursted out about two months ago in Wuhan has caused the death of more than a thousand people. China is fighting hard against the epidemics with the helps from all over the world. On the other hand, there appear to be doubts on the reported case number. In this article, we propose a test of the reported case number of coronavirus disease 2019 in China with Newcomb-Benford law. We find a p-value of 92.8% in favour that the cumulative case numbers abide by the Newcomb-Benford law. Even though the reported case number can be lower than the real number of affected people due to various reasons, this test does not seem to indicate the detection of frauds.


Bibtex:
@misc{, title={Testing Case Number of Coronavirus Disease 2019 in China with Newcomb-Benford Law}, author={Junyi Zhang}, year={2020}, eprint={2002.05695}, archivePrefix={arXiv}, primaryClass={physics.soc-ph}, url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2002.05695}, }


Reference Type: Preprint

Subject Area(s): Accounting, Medical Sciences