Proceedings of the American Philosophical Society 121(2), pp. 188-189.
ISSN/ISBN: 0003-049X DOI: Not available at this time.
Abstract: We use probability considerations without being aware of it in many daily-life situations. Whenever we make a choice or take a risk, we subconsciously decide that the probabilities are in our favor. We do this by intuition and I wish to point out that intuition can be a dangerously misleading guide in probability matters. I shall show this by discussing a few examples.
Bibtex:
@article{,
ISSN = {0003049X},
URL = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/986527},
author = {Samuel A. Goudsmit},
journal = {Proceedings of the American Philosophical Society},
number = {2},
pages = {188--189},
publisher = {American Philosophical Society},
title = {Pitfalls in Elementary Probability},
volume = {121},
year = {1977}
}
Reference Type: Journal Article
Subject Area(s): General Interest, Probability Theory