Presentation at the 2010 Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, April 22–25.
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Abstract: Growing authoritarian tendencies in Russian politics pose the problem of widespread electoral fraud designed to boost electoral support for Kremlin presidential candidates and parties, and to suppress political competitors. We use tests based on the second-digits of polling station level data from the Russian Duma elections of 2007 and presidential election of 2008 to examine the methods used to distort vote counts and examine whether votes reported at different times during the day are differently distorted. We find evidence of substantial changes in at least the location of fraud in Russian elections. In 2008, fraud moved into cities in ways it had not been present in 2007. We also find signs of “normal politics” at work, meaning that besides extensive evidence of widespread fraud there is also evidence of people having switched their votes in order to avoid wasting them on hopeless candidates.
Bibtex:
@misc{,
author = "Walter R. Mebane, Jr. and Kirill Kalinin",
title = "Electoral Fraud in Russia: Vote Counts Analysis using Second-digit Mean Tests",
note = "Presentation at the 2010 Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, April 22–25",
year = "2010",
}
Reference Type: Conference Paper
Subject Area(s): Voting Fraud